Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Mandating Zero Energy Homes

What if the Niagara Region insisted in its Official Plan that all new subdivisions were required to have zero-energy homes? Imagine the fuss, the complaining, the backlash. They would, however, be doing us all a huge favour. It can be reasonably imagined that homes that are energy inefficient will lose market value. With oil at $132/barrel, today's price and climbing, it is possible that all energy costs, including natural gas, will have a profoundly negative impact of the viability of homes that are poorly designed.

A net-zero energy home is capable of producing an annual output of renewable energy that is equal to the total amount of its annual purchased energy.

Is this far fetched? In fact no, Austin Texas is considering the idea. This from Builder Magazine:

Austin has appointed a task force to study the feasibility of a change in the building code that would require all new single-family homes in the city to be zero-energy–capable by 2015.

"The NAHB Research Center put out a report this year that stated that zero-energy homes are feasible across the U.S. by 2020," says Richard Morgan, green building manager for Austin Energy, the city-owned utility. "We figure we're a little ahead of the curve here, and 2015 should be feasible for us."

The city's goal is to make all homes built within the jurisdiction of Austin zero-energy–capable with on-site energy generation, which with today's technology means solar voltaics, Morgan says. That would make the houses about 60 percent more efficient than similar units built today.

If large numbers of homes are not viable in a high energy cost market, the whole local economy will suffer, people will double up or leave, and the tax base will diminish. Services will suffer, including mass transportation. All in all not a pretty picture and demonstrating that Smart Growth is also about ensuring the 'private' sector and well as the public infrastructure are equally important areas of concern.

Monday, May 19, 2008

Watering Paradise

I stood watering Mother's petunias last week. They were looking fine. So were the geraniums. The grass was coming in nicely. All in all a fine Minnesota garden. Sadly it was in Apache Junction, part of metro Phoenix. On the other side of the wall was the desert, dry and brown as it moved into summer. Mom loves her garden and I don't say anything. As a good son I just hold the hose spilling out the precious water that is the life blood of a very large consumer-oriented population, living where they have no hope of sustainable living in those numbers. Some other observations:

  • Mom is careful about recycling pop cans which can be taken down to the club house. Everything else – everything- is headed for the landfill. There is no recycling program. Governments have no courage to do so as the voters, many on fixed income, will not tolerate the cost.
  • Roads are four and 6 lanes wide, even on secondary roads. They are largely deserted. The automobile is king. No one walks because of the heat. On the positive side, the boulevards are beautifully landscaped. Public realms are wonderfully designed and maintained.
  • No solar collectors. Then again, a shower did not need the hot water turned on – only 'cold' water.
  • I saw very few recreational vehicles. Most of the snow birds had left, but there were almost none on the road to Tucson. Everyone was complaining about the cost of gas.

We came back to Canada to cold wet weather, leaving behind 90º F and dry comfort. This week it is over 100º F and the petunias are dying. Arizona was oddly attractive and at the same time unreal. The guilty pleasure of an unsustainable life……… When gas is $10 a gallon, the city in the desert will likely suffer the same fate as the petunias.

Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Development Charges on Size

This directly relates to development charges. I find it interesting that we in Niagara continue to charge the same for monster McMansions as we do for modest homes. If we want to encourage smart growth, living space sizes need to come down to encourage better density. This from Cooltown Studios:

Imagine if half of all your employees suddenly couldn't afford to live conveniently near your workplace? Many of them would leave rather than spend two hours of their daily lives in traffic or transit. Of course you'd replace them, but you wouldn't be attracting the same level of talent, then naturally, your customers would gradually realize the same.
Thus local businesses today are advocating for more 'workforce housing' - housing that is attainable to working families earning between 60%-120% of the median income for the area, and typically unsubsidized, as defined by real estate industry representative Urban Land Institute.
The following survey results of local businesses (this one in New Orleans) reflects a growing national concern, a result of a peaking perception that more square footage is better.
- 71% said the lack of workforce housing negatively impacted their business;
- 65% considered the need serious;
-42% felt developer incentives would increase the supply;
- 33% proposed public-private partnerships as the answer.
Myriad solutions are provided for such a pervasive issue, but the most logical lies with the fact that the average area of living space per occupant in the U.S. was 290 s.f. in 1950 and is 939 s.f. today. So maybe the answer isn't how do we build affordable 1200 s.f. homes, but how do we make 'not so big' cool again

Sunday, May 4, 2008

So Long Suburbia??

Author James Kunstler says the end of the Automotive Age is near, along with all the at dependent on it. From Business Week:

The suburbs were largely products of industrialism. We had a huge supply of oil and cheap undeveloped land, and we decided to become a happy, motoring utopia. It had many practical benefits. The trouble is after a while it became a cartoon
of country living. Cheap oil is what made suburbia possible. But we'll run into problems with spot shortages. As we get into trouble with these supplies, our economy will suffer. Major instabilities in the system will present themselves much sooner than we are led to believe. And by that I mean the way we
produce food, the way we conduct commerce, and the way we move around.

The rise and fall of oil production is asymmetrical. In other words, it'll be a steeper, rockier tumble down than the steady increase going up. My own sense of things is that we will be in very serious trouble inside of five years. I get people who come up to the podium after a speaking engagement to tell me they've just gotten a Prius, expecting brownie points. It's not that we're driving the wrong cars. It's that we're driving cars of any size, incessantly.

Virtually anything organized on a grand scale is liable to fall into trouble—government, finance, corporate enterprise, agribusiness, schools. Our gigantic metroplex cities will prove to be inconsistent with the energy diet of our future. I think our smaller cities and towns will be reactivated. We are going to be a far less affluent society.

This sounds ominous, but is consistent with what many have been saying for some time. Imagine a week or a month of shortages at the pump. The oil is still flowing, but not as quickly as we expect. Spot shortages in Niagara will have the same effect as everywhere else.

  • People will stop buying anything but the essentials. They will stop travelling (goodbye Niagara Falls).
  • They will not be eating out as much.
  • Big ticket items, homes, cars, etc, will simply crawl to a halt until there is some clarity in the market.

When it become clear that the shortages are not predictable, unnecessary travel will be a thing of the past for most people. Buses, trains, (not airplanes) will be in demand. Home close to city centres will be in demand. Prices for suburban homes will be in decline.

Friday, May 2, 2008

Devaluing Suburbs

This from the U.S. Environmental and Energy Study Institute and the Urban Land Institute and reported on NPR. Living in urban centres may not be just fashionable. It is clear that rising fuel prices will make suburban life less tolerable. Some cities, like Portland, Oregon, have people spending 10% of their discretionary income on transportation. Other cities, like Los Angeles require residents to pay on average 35%. Guess where Policy Analyst Jan Mueller says people are likely headed?

For a long time, cheap energy did allow people to make a choice to save money to live in a place that was less expensive further out. It's becoming less competitive from a financial and a time standpoint to live further out. Congress needs to encourage cities to invest more in existing infrastructure and less in new roads and developments. These changes will help reduce global warming and preserve home values in a down market. Houses closer in to cities have appreciated more than homes that require a long commute to urban centers.
Less roads (hear that Niagara Region?) and better downtowns. That is the future. It is also the future of where property values will increase.

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Bethlehem to the OMB

The appeal period has passed on the rezoning of the land for Bethlehem Projects new development on Kalar Rd. in Niagara Falls. Those opposed had opportunity to appeal the council decision to rezone the property for apartment use.

An Ontario Muncipal Board hearing is still required as the Niagara Falls Committee of Adjustment denied consent to create the new parcel. While never a sure thing, our planning consultants advice that there is an excellent chance of a favourable ruling. The hearing may come as early as June.

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Habitat Pattern Book

Habitat for Humanity, along with The Institute of Classical Architecture & Classical America have developed a "Pattern Book" to assist Habitat Affiliates in designing and placing the new homes they create. From the Institute's web site:


More than building new affordable houses, Habitat for Humanity
International's mission is to help people build new lives. The strength of our democracy is based on individual economic achievement and social mobility. Traditional neighborhoods provided a range of types and cost of housing, all within a walking distance of daily services, schools and churches. This mix provided role models for success that served to inspire young people. It ensured the long term stability of the community by providing life-long housing options for people: small inexpensive housing for those beginning their careers, larger family houses when children come along, smaller urban housing for empty nesters, and assisted living for the elderly. Studies have demonstrated that over time the social capital created in such neighborhoods is a key in community stability and the health of its residents. Each house built has two roles: one to provide
adequate shelter and the other to become part of a neighborhood. The architectural character of the exterior of the house is the most critical part of its design in fulfilling its responsibility to the community.

It is clear that no single solution to affordable housing works everywhere. At the same time developing without sensitivity to the surrounding vernacular is disrespectful and makes for a bad start for the new neighbours.
I'm pleased to see this pattern book but continue to believe that single detached homes lack the density that is needed in the face of increased energy costs. Further single detached homes represent a higher costs that could be better used to create more housing. Townhomes and garden apartments seem better suited designs.

Friday, April 18, 2008

Poverty and Smart Growth

It is not often that I hear this. A few days ago in conversation I was told that poverty is not an issue that is central to Smart Growth. I was taken by surprise by this as this person does have feelings for the poor, but somehow could not make the connection.

I am on the Smarter Niagara Steering Committee and have been for 6 years. One of the so called "10 Principles" of Smart Growth is the availability of a range of housing options. It is a weak half-hearted statement, but there it is. What burns me about Smart Growth is the emphasis on technical issues: transects, road widths, bicycle paths, walkability, density. What we often get out of this is Smart Sprawl, developments that have all of these features, but are disconnected from the rest of community life as smartly designed socially gated communities with Stepford standards and prices forcing out the untidiness of the mere ordinary.

My view is that it is not "Smart" if it does not move us socially or economically toward making room for all. The root of this evil is the inequity of income and opportunity, along with the contrasting gluttony of conspicuous and near patriotic consumption supporting the extended last gasp of oil based market economy. Smart growth that leaves out the poor, that further segregates people on the basis of financial equity, is just as cruel as 'dumb' growth'. It is just better to look at and more enjoyable for the 'creative class'.

This is from Trixie Ling at Citizens for Public Justice:

"The visible signs of housing insecurity across Canada are part of a bigger picture of the impact of poverty. The reality is that poverty creates social exclusion and inequality by denying people access to affordable and adequate housing and to full participation in the economy and society. While poverty creates barriers for people to live responsibly and build healthy communities, lack of decent housing is detrimental to the health and well-being of individuals and families. "
I would add it is detrimental to all of us. In the end, if large numbers of citizens are smartly left behind, left out of the sweetness of new traditional neighbourhoods and vibrant downtowns, then we have not accomplished very much at all. Decay, crime, and despair will have just moved down the street into the old suburbs we so love to hate. Eventually it will all come back.

The disparity of income and opportunity, - and I'm no socialist! - that is where the battle begins for a fair and just society that is capable of adapting successfully to a sustainable future.

Ontario to veto ban on clotheslines

At last. Common sense about laundry.

"Premier Dalton McGuinty is to announce today that clotheslines can no longer be banned in subdivisions or almost anywhere else in the province. In a bid to curb the use of energy-sucking dryers, the new regulation will overrule neighbourhood covenants – part of the mortgage agreement between many developers and homebuyers – that outlaw clotheslines because they're considered unsightly. The regulation, to take effect today, will not only prohibit new bans but also wipe out most that already exist, a provision that angered the province's building industry."
This is great news. In our neighbourhood we are the only people who hang out our laundry. We like the smell of wind blown clothes. We also like not running the dryer when it's 30 degrees outside. Come on people! What's wrong with airing a little clean laundry?

Thursday, April 10, 2008

Poverty, Housing, and Health

Tonight on PBS was the first of three reports collectively entitled "Unnatural Causes". It's about why some of us get sicker more often and die sooner and what causes us to fall ill in the first place. The first report, called "In Sickness and in Wealth" looked at the correlation between the growing gap between the rich and the poor. It says a lot about why affordable housing, among other indicators of an equitable society, is so important for one's physical health. (Video clip)

In some cities, just a few miles apart, the average life span is more than 10 years longer for those who are relatively more wealthy. The stereotype of the poor not being smart enough to take care of themselves and thus being more sick is far from the truth. In fact it has everything to do with sense of powerlessness of being trapped in poverty. Those who have options have considerably less stress in their lives.

The unending stress of childhood poverty can have lifelong health consequences. Jack Shonkoff of the Harvard Center on the Developing Child:

"Just the burden of day after day not knowing whether there's going to be food on the table or not knowing whether you're going to have a roof over your head, is actually toxic to the brain. So we begin to see in children who experience toxic stress long-term impacts of what's basically been chemically damaging to their brains. The concept here is the pile-up of risk, the cumulative burden of having things that are increasing your chances of having problems, as opposed to the cumulative protection of having things in your life that increase the likelihood that you can have better outcomes.

Economic security may offer some of those cumulative health benefits. In another cold virus study, home ownership was considered as a factor. People were asked if their parents own their own home. It turned out that a child whose parent did not own their family home is much more likely to succumb to a cold virus as an adult. In fact, the more years their parents owned a home, the less likely they'd be to get a cold when we expose them to a virus. A brain that's been subjected to more disruption, an immune system that's been more threatened.

As the gap grows between the poor and the wealthy it may be that this generation will be the first in a century to see a decline in life expectancy. The program makes the argument that advances in medicine, while helpful, did not make as much difference in life expectancy as did the broad advances in general income and relative freedom from worry about merely sustaining one's life.

Not only is affordable housing the right thing to ensure, it also reduces the health care costs we all bear. The total cost of poverty, includes lack of opportunity, lack of contribution, direct welfare costs, families broken by the stress, crime and stress on the justice system, and much more that falls through the cracks of ineffectual charity. Social justice, economic equity are really health issues and ensuring a fair and equitable society is then also a matter of self interest.